3x 3 cent battle
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.03
0.04 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.81%
EV $0.02 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.66%
7,041 openings, odds method
Variance
23.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,041 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6 | 1 in 400 | $2.36 3.72 HUNT_COIN | 25.9% | 14 | 17.6 | 0.80× |
| AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn)weapon · blueLight | 1 in 400 | $0.69 1.09 HUNT_COIN | 7.6% | 21 | 17.6 | 1.19× |
| M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 100 | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 3.3% | 75 | 70.4 | 1.07× |
| MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested)weapon · gray | 1 in 20 | $0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN | 11.1% | 358 | 352.1 | 1.02× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 93.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 52.1% | 6,573 | 6583.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerSr.Calavera$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.50x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 89.81% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#d32ee6 0.3%blueLight 0.3%Industrial Grade 1.0%gray 5.0%consumer 93.5%best hit —