10% free knife

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.93
3.04 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.95%
597 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
573 openings · below min
30 days
597 openings · below min
since tracking started
597 openings · below min
0.0%59.8%119.5%

Small sample. 597 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h60.66%±0.00—sample
7d57385.36%±33.4—sample
30d59781.95%±32.1—sample
All59781.95%±32.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Factory New)knife · rareNopejustbot$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$96.73152 HUNT_COIN50.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Factory New)knife · rare$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$96.73152 HUNT_COIN50.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Factory New)knife · rareNopejustbot$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$96.73152 HUNT_COIN50.12x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerMarius Tutunaru$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$1.933.04 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $96.73 (50.12x)