1% chance 99% Faith

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.42
0.66 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.59%
412 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
412 openings · below min
7 days
412 openings · below min
30 days
412 openings · below min
since tracking started
412 openings · below min
4.0%70.5%137.0%

Small sample. 412 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h41270.59%±66.0—sample
7d41270.59%±66.0—sample
30d41270.59%±66.0—sample
All41270.59%±66.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$29.1745.95 HUNT_COIN69.62x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$29.1745.95 HUNT_COIN69.62x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$29.1745.95 HUNT_COIN69.62x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$29.1745.95 HUNT_COIN69.62x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prostickerMarius Tutunaru$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Virtus.prostickerMarius Tutunaru$0.420.66 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $29.17 (69.62x)