After Party
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$18.11
28.53 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.48%
EV $15.66 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.75%
351 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 351 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$18.1128.53 HUNT_COIN$23.0036.23 HUNT_COIN1.27x
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$18.1128.53 HUNT_COIN$23.0036.23 HUNT_COIN1.27x
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedHulk$18.1128.53 HUNT_COIN$44.4470 HUNT_COIN2.45x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $18.11 | 86.48% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%covert 11.8%covert knife 1.0%Classified 2.2%classified 6.8%restricted 3.3%violet 25.0%other 50.0%best hit —