Price
$32.18
50.68 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $27.83 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
58.23%
210 openings, odds method
Variance
11.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 210 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$36.5557.57 HUNT_COIN1.14x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$3.735.88 HUNT_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$36.5557.57 HUNT_COIN1.14x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$2.083.28 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecHulk$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$2.083.28 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$2.083.28 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$54.1785.32 HUNT_COIN1.68x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecTrevor Lett$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$2.083.28 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.18 | 86.49% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 18.2%classified 3.7%rare 0.6%restricted 22.5%milspec 40.0%blueLight 15.0%best hit —