Aks Wrath

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$32.18
50.68 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $27.83 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
58.23%
210 openings, odds method
Variance
11.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
26 openings · below min
7 days
52.07%±62.08115 openings
30 days
58.23%±45.94210 openings
since tracking started
58.23%±45.94210 openings
-0.5%103.8%208.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2676.90%±130.6—odds
7d11552.07%±62.1−1.1σodds
30d21058.23%±45.9−1.2σodds
All21058.23%±45.9−1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 210 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$4,028 6,344 HUNT_COIN7.2%00.1—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 667$839 1,321 HUNT_COIN4.5%00.3—
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified1 in 500$556 875 HUNT_COIN4.0%00.4—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare1 in 167$339 534 HUNT_COIN7.3%01.30.00×
AK-47 | Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 100$324 510 HUNT_COIN11.6%02.10.00×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 50$132 208 HUNT_COIN9.5%34.20.71×
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 40$101 158 HUNT_COIN9.0%85.31.52×
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 29$71.18 112 HUNT_COIN9.0%77.40.95×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 20$54.17 85.32 HUNT_COIN9.7%1510.51.43×
AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 13$47.23 74.38 HUNT_COIN12.7%1015.80.63×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 13$36.55 57.57 HUNT_COIN9.9%1715.81.08×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec10.0%$3.73 5.88 HUNT_COIN1.3%2221.01.05×
AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted15.0%$2.81 4.42 HUNT_COIN1.5%2331.50.73×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec15.0%$2.18 3.44 HUNT_COIN1.2%3831.51.21×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec15.0%$2.08 3.28 HUNT_COIN1.1%3931.51.24×
AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn)weapon · blueLight15.0%$0.69 1.09 HUNT_COIN0.4%2831.50.89×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$36.5557.57 HUNT_COIN1.14x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$3.735.88 HUNT_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$36.5557.57 HUNT_COIN1.14x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$2.083.28 HUNT_COIN0.06x
AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn)weapon · blueLight$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$0.691.09 HUNT_COIN0.02x
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$101158 HUNT_COIN3.12x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$2.083.28 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$32.1850.68 HUNT_COIN$54.1785.32 HUNT_COIN1.68x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$32.1886.49%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 18.2%classified 3.7%rare 0.6%restricted 22.5%milspec 40.0%blueLight 15.0%best hit —