Barricade

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.18
5.01 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.38%
EV $2.75 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.12%
376 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
101.52%±14.32307 openings
30 days
98.12%±12.94376 openings
since tracking started
98.12%±12.94376 openings
-0.5%82.0%164.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h661.18%±102.5—odds
7d307101.52%±14.3+2.1σodds
30d37698.12%±12.9+1.8σodds
All37698.12%±12.9+1.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 376 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$25.49 40.15 HUNT_COIN9.3%63.81.60×
USP-S | Stainless (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 80$22.43 35.33 HUNT_COIN10.2%44.70.85×
MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 67$10.83 17.06 HUNT_COIN5.9%85.61.42×
USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 50$8.48 13.35 HUNT_COIN6.2%107.51.33×
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 50$7.75 12.21 HUNT_COIN5.6%67.50.80×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 40$6.53 10.29 HUNT_COIN5.9%109.41.06×
FAMAS | Pulse (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 33$5.65 8.9 HUNT_COIN6.2%1011.30.89×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 25$5.28 8.32 HUNT_COIN7.7%1315.00.86×
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 24$5.14 8.1 HUNT_COIN8.0%2216.01.38×
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 20$4.50 7.09 HUNT_COIN8.2%3318.81.76×
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 17$4.17 6.57 HUNT_COIN9.1%1922.60.84×
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 13$2.48 3.91 HUNT_COIN6.8%3128.21.10×
Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare15.0%$0.67 1.06 HUNT_COIN3.7%5256.40.92×
Sticker | Pushing Smokes (Glitter)sticker · Mythical15.0%$0.58 0.92 HUNT_COIN3.2%5056.40.89×
Sticker | Countdownsticker · #4b69ff15.0%$0.55 0.86 HUNT_COIN3.0%5756.41.01×
Sticker | Counter-Techsticker · Rare15.0%$0.20 0.32 HUNT_COIN1.1%4556.40.80×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.671.06 HUNT_COIN0.21x
Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.671.06 HUNT_COIN0.21x
Sticker | Counter-Techsticker · Rare$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.200.32 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.671.06 HUNT_COIN0.21x
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareJakub Oplot$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$4.176.57 HUNT_COIN1.31x
Sticker | Countdownsticker · #4b69ff$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.550.86 HUNT_COIN0.17x
Sticker | Pushing Smokes (Glitter)sticker · Mythical$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN0.18x
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$2.483.91 HUNT_COIN0.78x
Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · RareHobbi3ten$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$0.671.06 HUNT_COIN0.21x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.38%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$3.1886.38%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 12.0%mil spec 1.3%Mythical 20.0%restricted 4.0%violet 4.3%Rare 36.0%Ancient 7.5%#4b69ff 15.0%best hit —