Price
$14.62
23.02 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $12.64 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.75%
341 openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 341 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SCAR-20 | Magna Carta (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$26.6641.99 HUNT_COIN1.82x
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$16.5326.04 HUNT_COIN1.13x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$64.65102 HUNT_COIN4.42x
Souvenir G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeHulk$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$0.430.67 HUNT_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$55.1886.91 HUNT_COIN3.78x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$0.921.45 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$0.921.45 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$14.6223.02 HUNT_COIN$0.921.45 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.62 | 86.49% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 22.1%Uncommon 0.1%Industrial 0.2%classified 14.1%Classified 2.0%Mil Spec Grade 7.5%#87c7ff 6.5%#d32ce6 7.5%mil spec 20.0%Consumer Grade 20.0%best hit —