Blessing

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,023.68
3,187 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $1,750.48 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary1 in 100$17.4K 27,343 HUNT_COIN9.9%00.0—
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 80$14.2K 22,288 HUNT_COIN10.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband1 in 67$7,153 11,265 HUNT_COIN6.1%00.0—
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 50$5,555 8,749 HUNT_COIN6.3%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 50$4,394 6,921 HUNT_COIN5.0%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 40$4,152 6,540 HUNT_COIN5.9%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 33$4,035 6,354 HUNT_COIN6.9%00.0—
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 25$3,681 5,797 HUNT_COIN8.4%00.0—
★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 24$3,264 5,141 HUNT_COIN7.9%00.0—
★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20$2,846 4,482 HUNT_COIN8.1%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 17$2,546 4,010 HUNT_COIN8.7%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 13$2,014 3,172 HUNT_COIN8.6%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert15.0%$289 455 HUNT_COIN2.5%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife15.0%$236 372 HUNT_COIN2.0%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife15.0%$222 350 HUNT_COIN1.9%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife15.0%$165 261 HUNT_COIN1.4%00.0—
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$2,02486.50%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 1.0%covert 23.3%contraband 1.5%gold 2.0%Covert 14.0%epic 7.3%covert knife 51.0%