Bonecrusher

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$35.91
56.56 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $31.06 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.78%
214 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
34 openings · below min
7 days
88.13%±37.55141 openings
30 days
80.78%±30.48214 openings
since tracking started
80.78%±30.48214 openings
34.5%111.8%189.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h34111.85%±76.5—odds
7d14188.13%±37.5+0.1σodds
30d21480.78%±30.5−0.4σodds
All21480.78%±30.5−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 214 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$1,972 3,106 HUNT_COIN0.6%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 3,333$1,670 2,630 HUNT_COIN1.6%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,667$1,160 1,827 HUNT_COIN2.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife1 in 1,000$550 866 HUNT_COIN1.8%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 400$437 689 HUNT_COIN3.5%00.5—
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 182$392 618 HUNT_COIN6.9%21.21.70×
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 100$329 518 HUNT_COIN10.6%32.11.40×
★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 50$195 307 HUNT_COIN12.5%34.30.70×
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 33$153 242 HUNT_COIN14.8%56.40.78×
★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd7001 in 33$120 189 HUNT_COIN11.6%66.40.93×
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 20$110 173 HUNT_COIN17.6%1410.71.31×
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 20$89.47 141 HUNT_COIN14.4%810.70.75×
Sticker | Knife Clubsticker · High Grade15.0%$0.81 1.28 HUNT_COIN0.4%3332.11.03×
Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terroriststicker · Rare15.0%$0.81 1.27 HUNT_COIN0.4%4032.11.25×
Sticker | StarLadder (Foil)sticker25.0%$0.66 1.04 HUNT_COIN0.5%5453.51.01×
Sticker | Poorly Drawn FBIsticker · Rare25.0%$0.48 0.76 HUNT_COIN0.4%4653.50.86×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terroriststicker · Rare$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.27 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Knife Clubsticker · High Grade$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Poorly Drawn FBIsticker · Rare$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.480.76 HUNT_COIN0.01x
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$110173 HUNT_COIN3.05x
Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terroriststicker · Rare$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.27 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Knife Clubsticker · High GradeLEZAS$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | StarLadder (Foil)sticker$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.661.04 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terroriststicker · Rare$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.27 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terroriststicker · Rare$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.27 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terroriststicker · RarePeitschenMeister$35.9156.56 HUNT_COIN$0.811.27 HUNT_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$35.9186.49%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 10.8%gold 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%other 25.1%covert knife 6.0%#ffd700 3.0%High Grade 15.0%Rare 40.0%best hit —