Boom
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$68.16
107 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $58.95 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
146.03%
27 openings, odds method
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 27 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 1 in 40 | $646 1,017 HUNT_COIN | 27.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 13 | $424 667 HUNT_COIN | 53.9% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.98× |
| Sticker | Flammable (Foil)sticker · exotic | 12.5% | $82.72 130 HUNT_COIN | 17.5% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× |
| Sticker | Boom (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6 | 15.0% | $2.44 3.85 HUNT_COIN | 0.6% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× |
| Sticker | Romanov's Fire (Foil)sticker · exotic | 15.0% | $0.71 1.12 HUNT_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| Sticker | Friendly Firesticker · high | 15.0% | $0.62 0.97 HUNT_COIN | 0.2% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× |
| Sticker | In The Fire (Foil)sticker · exotic | 15.0% | $0.46 0.73 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.23× |
| Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter)sticker · remarkable | 17.5% | $0.34 0.54 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$68.16107 HUNT_COIN$6461,017 HUNT_COIN9.48x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryfine shi$68.16107 HUNT_COIN$424667 HUNT_COIN6.22x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $68.16 | 86.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 2.5%extraordinary 7.5%exotic 42.5%#d32ce6 15.0%high 15.0%remarkable 17.5%best hit $646 (9.48x)