CT Locked
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$65.24
103 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $56.43 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.52%
45 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 45 openings and 7.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 45 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$65.24103 HUNT_COIN$4.226.65 HUNT_COIN0.06x
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covertPeitschenMeister$65.24103 HUNT_COIN$129203 HUNT_COIN1.98x
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified$65.24103 HUNT_COIN$74.51117 HUNT_COIN1.14x
MAG-7 | Storm (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Gradefine shi$65.24103 HUNT_COIN$11.7818.56 HUNT_COIN0.18x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $65.24 | 86.50% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 26.0%extraordinary 2.0%classified 29.0%covert 12.0%mil spec 11.0%Consumer Grade 20.0%best hit —