Deagle Mystery

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$19.37
30.5 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $16.75 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.78%
491 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
82 openings · below min
7 days
82.96%±24.24369 openings
30 days
86.78%±21.01491 openings
since tracking started
86.78%±21.01491 openings
45.0%97.0%149.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8297.09%±51.4—odds
7d36982.96%±24.2−0.3σodds
30d49186.78%±21.0+0.0σodds
All49186.78%±21.0+0.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 491 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 1,000$693 1,091 HUNT_COIN4.1%00.5—
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 400$397 626 HUNT_COIN5.9%21.21.63×
Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 200$265 418 HUNT_COIN7.9%42.51.63×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 133$196 309 HUNT_COIN8.8%33.70.81×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$160 252 HUNT_COIN9.5%44.90.81×
Desert Eagle | Pilot (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 83$138 217 HUNT_COIN9.9%75.91.19×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 45$81.25 128 HUNT_COIN10.7%510.80.46×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 40$52.92 83.35 HUNT_COIN7.9%1512.31.22×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 36$45.83 72.19 HUNT_COIN7.5%1413.51.04×
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 33$40.29 63.45 HUNT_COIN7.2%1614.71.09×
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 31$30.86 48.61 HUNT_COIN6.0%2516.01.57×
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 29$26.86 42.31 HUNT_COIN5.6%1217.20.70×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 25$23.49 37 HUNT_COIN5.6%1519.60.76×
Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Well-Worn)weapon · blue25.0%$1.10 1.74 HUNT_COIN1.6%123122.81.00×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec25.0%$0.73 1.15 HUNT_COIN1.1%121122.80.99×
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec25.0%$0.39 0.62 HUNT_COIN0.6%125122.81.02×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Well-Worn)weapon · blue$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$1.101.74 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecHulk$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Well-Worn)weapon · blue$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$1.101.74 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$30.8648.61 HUNT_COIN1.59x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$19.3786.50%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrare 3.6%restricted 4.1%classified 1.8%covert 5.3%Mythical 3.0%Industrial Grade 3.3%Legendary 4.0%blue 25.0%mil spec 25.0%milspec 25.0%best hit —