Price
$19.37
30.5 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $16.75 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.78%
491 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 491 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.731.15 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.731.15 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecHulk$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$30.8648.61 HUNT_COIN1.59x
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$19.3730.5 HUNT_COIN$0.390.62 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.37 | 86.50% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 3.6%restricted 4.1%classified 1.8%covert 5.3%Mythical 3.0%Industrial Grade 3.3%Legendary 4.0%blue 25.0%mil spec 25.0%milspec 25.0%best hit —