Default Plant
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$4.68
7.37 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.44%
EV $4.04 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.07%
204 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 67 | $42.20 66.47 HUNT_COIN | 15.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical | 1 in 20 | $17.09 26.91 HUNT_COIN | 21.1% | 13 | 10.2 | 1.27× |
| Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $8.26 13.01 HUNT_COIN | 15.3% | 12 | 15.3 | 0.78× |
| CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 13 | $5.82 9.17 HUNT_COIN | 11.5% | 20 | 16.3 | 1.23× |
| P250 | See Ya Later (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 13.0% | $4.31 6.79 HUNT_COIN | 13.9% | 27 | 26.5 | 1.02× |
| Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon | 15.0% | $3.75 5.91 HUNT_COIN | 13.9% | 23 | 30.6 | 0.75× |
| Sticker | Bomb Codesticker · High Grade | 15.0% | $0.76 1.19 HUNT_COIN | 2.8% | 29 | 30.6 | 0.95× |
| Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare | 35.0% | $0.67 1.06 HUNT_COIN | 5.8% | 77 | 71.4 | 1.08× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommonLEZAS$4.687.37 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.80x
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon$4.687.37 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.80x
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommonLEZAS$4.687.37 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.80x
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon$4.687.37 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.80x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.44%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.68 | 86.44% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 9.0%Mythical 5.0%mil spec 8.0%covert 13.0%uncommon 15.0%High Grade 15.0%Rare 35.0%best hit —