1v5 Clutch

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$12.25

19.3 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.48%

EV $10.60 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

109.33%

258 openings, odds method

Variance

11.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 15

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

77.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

60 openings · below min

7 days

114.82%±42.86241 openings

30 days

109.33%±41.43258 openings

since tracking started

109.33%±41.43258 openings

67.5%229.3%391.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	60	304.61%±85.9	—	odds
7d	241	114.82%±42.9	+1.3σ	odds
30d	258	109.33%±41.4	+1.1σ	odds
All	258	109.33%±41.4	+1.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 258 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$1,509 2,377 HUNT_COIN	7.1%	1	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 667	$346 545 HUNT_COIN	4.9%	0	0.4	—
Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary	1 in 500	$208 328 HUNT_COIN	3.9%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 167	$132 208 HUNT_COIN	7.5%	1	1.5	0.65×
AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$126 199 HUNT_COIN	11.9%	1	2.6	0.39×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 50	$52.64 82.91 HUNT_COIN	9.9%	6	5.2	1.16×
AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 40	$35.61 56.09 HUNT_COIN	8.4%	4	6.5	0.62×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 29	$29.17 45.95 HUNT_COIN	9.6%	6	9.0	0.66×
USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 20	$19.72 31.06 HUNT_COIN	9.3%	15	12.9	1.16×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 13	$18.76 29.54 HUNT_COIN	13.3%	17	19.3	0.88×
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 13	$12.08 19.03 HUNT_COIN	8.6%	24	19.3	1.24×
MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Factory New)weapon · blue	10.0%	$1.49 2.35 HUNT_COIN	1.4%	25	25.8	0.97×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	15.0%	$0.99 1.56 HUNT_COIN	1.4%	36	38.7	0.93×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	15.0%	$0.85 1.34 HUNT_COIN	1.2%	35	38.7	0.90×
Sticker \| Welcome to the Clutchsticker · high	15.0%	$0.76 1.2 HUNT_COIN	1.1%	44	38.7	1.14×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Nexus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	15.0%	$0.34 0.54 HUNT_COIN	0.5%	43	38.7	1.11×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$1,5092,377 HUNT_COIN123.2x5h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$0.991.56 HUNT_COIN0.08x5h

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$52.6482.91 HUNT_COIN4.30x5h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN1.53x5h

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$1,5092,377 HUNT_COIN123.2x5h

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New)weapon · blue$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$1.492.35 HUNT_COIN0.12x5h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedHulk$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN1.53x5h

Sticker | Welcome to the Clutchsticker · high$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$0.761.2 HUNT_COIN0.06x11h

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$12.2519.3 HUNT_COIN$52.6482.91 HUNT_COIN4.30x11h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$12.25	86.48%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 17.5%covert 8.8%Legendary 0.2%pink 3.5%blue 10.0%#4b69ff 30.0%Rare 15.0%high 15.0%best hit $1,509 (123.2x)