10% Sticker
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$104.15
164 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $90.08 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.97%
665 openings, odds method
Variance
10.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 665 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Titansticker | 1 in 500 | $3,472 5,469 HUNT_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| Sticker | iBUYPOWERsticker | 1 in 333 | $3,318 5,225 HUNT_COIN | 11.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | Team LDLC.comsticker | 1 in 67 | $1,511 2,380 HUNT_COIN | 25.2% | 14 | 10.0 | 1.40× |
| Sticker | LGB eSportssticker | 1 in 50 | $694 1,094 HUNT_COIN | 15.4% | 12 | 13.3 | 0.90× |
| Sticker | Fnaticsticker | 1 in 40 | $657 1,035 HUNT_COIN | 18.2% | 15 | 16.6 | 0.90× |
| Sticker | HellRaiserssticker | 1 in 29 | $556 875 HUNT_COIN | 21.6% | 21 | 23.3 | 0.90× |
| Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo)sticker · violet | 40.0% | $0.95 1.49 HUNT_COIN | 0.4% | 282 | 266.0 | 1.06× |
| Sticker | Welcome to the Clutchsticker · high | 50.0% | $0.76 1.2 HUNT_COIN | 0.4% | 319 | 332.5 | 0.96× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $104 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 10.0%violet 40.0%high 50.0%best hit $3,318 (31.86x)