Banana Control
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.96
14.11 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.46%
EV $7.75 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.03%
447 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 447 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 10.0% | $36.11 56.88 HUNT_COIN | 46.6% | 51 | 44.7 | 1.14× |
| Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic | 10.0% | $23.26 36.64 HUNT_COIN | 30.0% | 40 | 44.7 | 0.89× |
| Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $12.43 19.57 HUNT_COIN | 16.0% | 37 | 44.7 | 0.83× |
| Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Well-Worn)weapon · violet | 12.5% | $2.30 3.63 HUNT_COIN | 3.7% | 56 | 55.9 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | CT in Bananasticker · Rare | 12.5% | $0.83 1.31 HUNT_COIN | 1.3% | 61 | 55.9 | 1.09× |
| Sticker | Bananasticker · #4b69ff | 12.5% | $0.78 1.23 HUNT_COIN | 1.3% | 48 | 55.9 | 0.86× |
| Sticker | Fast Bananasticker · high | 12.5% | $0.55 0.87 HUNT_COIN | 0.9% | 59 | 55.9 | 1.06× |
| MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 95 | 89.4 | 1.06× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$8.9614.11 HUNT_COIN$36.1156.88 HUNT_COIN4.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.96 | 86.46% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedIndustrial Grade 10.0%exotic 10.0%classified 10.0%violet 12.5%Rare 12.5%#4b69ff 32.5%high 12.5%best hit —