Bullet Queen

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$15.70

24.72 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.47%

EV $13.57 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

61.16%

387 openings, odds method

Variance

16.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 17

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

91.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

40 openings · below min

7 days

61.49%±49.57263 openings

30 days

61.16%±40.87387 openings

since tracking started

61.16%±40.87387 openings

-0.5%103.0%206.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	40	78.55%±127.1	—	odds
7d	263	61.49%±49.6	−1.0σ	odds
30d	387	61.16%±40.9	−1.2σ	odds
All	387	61.16%±40.9	−1.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 387 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$3,333 5,250 HUNT_COIN	2.5%	0	0.0	—
Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,000	$1,542 2,428 HUNT_COIN	5.7%	0	0.2	—
Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified	1 in 1,000	$917 1,444 HUNT_COIN	6.8%	0	0.4	—
Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted	1 in 769	$421 663 HUNT_COIN	4.0%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 625	$211 332 HUNT_COIN	2.5%	0	0.6	—
USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 400	$182 286 HUNT_COIN	3.4%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 333	$136 214 HUNT_COIN	3.0%	1	1.2	0.86×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 50	$123 194 HUNT_COIN	18.2%	4	7.7	0.52×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 33	$88.71 140 HUNT_COIN	19.6%	17	11.6	1.46×
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 33	$81.71 129 HUNT_COIN	18.1%	8	11.6	0.69×
Sticker \| Purrurists (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 17	$6.52 10.27 HUNT_COIN	2.9%	24	23.2	1.03×
Sticker \| Lotus (Glitter)sticker · remarkable	10.0%	$6.43 10.12 HUNT_COIN	4.7%	47	38.7	1.21×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	12.5%	$2.65 4.18 HUNT_COIN	2.4%	62	48.4	1.28×
Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	17.5%	$2.10 3.31 HUNT_COIN	2.7%	65	67.7	0.96×
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	20.0%	$2.01 3.17 HUNT_COIN	3.0%	65	77.4	0.84×
CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	25.0%	$0.36 0.57 HUNT_COIN	0.7%	94	96.8	0.97×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$2.654.18 HUNT_COIN0.17x1h

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN0.02x1h

Sticker | Purrurists (Foil)sticker · Legendary$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$6.5210.27 HUNT_COIN0.42x1h

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$2.013.17 HUNT_COIN0.13x1h

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pinkHulk$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$2.103.31 HUNT_COIN0.13x1h

Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$2.654.18 HUNT_COIN0.17x1h

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$2.013.17 HUNT_COIN0.13x1h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$136214 HUNT_COIN8.66x1h

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$15.7024.72 HUNT_COIN$2.013.17 HUNT_COIN0.13x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.47%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$15.70	86.47%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 20.4%restricted 3.0%Restricted 0.1%covert 5.5%Legendary 18.5%remarkable 10.0%pink 17.5%#8847ff 25.0%best hit —