Eco Round

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.79
18.57 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $10.20 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.40%
232 openings, odds method
Variance
12.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
14 openings · below min
7 days
73.84%±50.52184 openings
30 days
86.40%±44.99232 openings
since tracking started
86.40%±44.99232 openings
-0.5%124.5%249.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1465.65%±183.1—odds
7d18473.84%±50.5−0.5σodds
30d23286.40%±45.0−0.0σodds
All23286.40%±45.0−0.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 232 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 2,000$1,542 2,428 HUNT_COIN7.6%00.1—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 667$283 445 HUNT_COIN4.2%10.3—
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 500$217 341 HUNT_COIN4.2%00.5—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 167$136 214 HUNT_COIN8.0%11.40.72×
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 100$111 175 HUNT_COIN10.9%52.32.16×
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 50$51.39 80.94 HUNT_COIN10.1%44.60.86×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 40$33.82 53.27 HUNT_COIN8.3%75.81.21×
P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 29$29.03 45.73 HUNT_COIN10.0%58.10.62×
P250 | Mehndi (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20$21.75 34.25 HUNT_COIN10.7%811.60.69×
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert1 in 13$17.05 26.86 HUNT_COIN12.5%1917.41.09×
USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 13$11.82 18.61 HUNT_COIN8.7%1617.40.92×
USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted10.0%$1.45 2.29 HUNT_COIN1.4%2123.20.91×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec15.0%$0.74 1.17 HUNT_COIN1.1%3234.80.92×
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec15.0%$0.69 1.09 HUNT_COIN1.0%3734.81.06×
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet15.0%$0.63 1 HUNT_COIN0.9%3734.81.06×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare15.0%$0.31 0.49 HUNT_COIN0.5%3934.81.12×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetLEZAS$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.631 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.631 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.631 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$51.3980.94 HUNT_COIN4.36x
P250 | Mehndi (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$21.7534.25 HUNT_COIN1.84x
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.691.09 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.741.17 HUNT_COIN0.06x
USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$1.452.29 HUNT_COIN0.12x
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareVladutBossul$11.7918.57 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$11.7986.49%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 14.6%covert 0.8%classified 7.7%rare 2.0%Covert 7.5%red 7.5%mil spec 15.0%Mil Spec 15.0%violet 15.0%Rare 15.0%best hit —