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Famas Fantasy

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.73
7.45 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.38%
EV $4.09 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.96%
329 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
99.25%±16.54246 openings
30 days
96.96%±14.30329 openings
since tracking started
96.96%±14.30329 openings
57.5%133.0%208.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12132.77%±74.9—odds
7d24699.25%±16.5+1.5σodds
30d32996.96%±14.3+1.5σodds
All32996.96%±14.3+1.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 329 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$39.58 62.34 HUNT_COIN9.7%33.30.91×
Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary1 in 80$32.81 51.68 HUNT_COIN10.0%94.12.19×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 67$15.89 25.02 HUNT_COIN5.8%04.90.00×
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 50$13.89 21.88 HUNT_COIN6.8%96.61.37×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 50$11.82 18.62 HUNT_COIN5.8%66.60.91×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 40$10.03 15.79 HUNT_COIN6.1%138.21.58×
FAMAS | Commemoration (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 33$9.02 14.2 HUNT_COIN6.6%99.90.91×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 25$8.33 13.12 HUNT_COIN8.2%1813.21.37×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon1 in 24$7.21 11.36 HUNT_COIN7.5%1214.00.86×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 20$6.79 10.7 HUNT_COIN8.3%2116.41.28×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 17$5.56 8.76 HUNT_COIN8.2%1319.70.66×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 13$5.18 8.16 HUNT_COIN9.5%2724.71.09×
FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff15.0%$0.71 1.12 HUNT_COIN2.6%3849.40.77×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec15.0%$0.69 1.09 HUNT_COIN2.5%5149.41.03×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec15.0%$0.55 0.87 HUNT_COIN2.0%5549.41.11×
Souvenir FAMAS | Faulty Wiring (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon15.0%$0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN0.3%4549.40.91×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$0.550.87 HUNT_COIN0.12x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$10.0315.79 HUNT_COIN2.12x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$0.691.09 HUNT_COIN0.15x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$0.691.09 HUNT_COIN0.15x
Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$32.8151.68 HUNT_COIN6.94x
Souvenir FAMAS | Faulty Wiring (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weaponHulk$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$8.3313.12 HUNT_COIN1.76x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$6.7910.7 HUNT_COIN1.44x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$7.2111.36 HUNT_COIN1.52x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.737.45 HUNT_COIN$0.691.09 HUNT_COIN0.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.38%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$4.7386.38%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 2.5%Legendary 3.8%covert 5.0%restricted 7.0%Restricted 4.0%uncommon 4.3%milspec 36.0%#4b69ff 7.5%#87c7ff 15.0%other 15.0%best hit —