Flickin N Clickin

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$32.77

51.62 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.50%

EV $28.35 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

83.91%

161 openings, odds method

Variance

1.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

13.5%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

60.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

40 openings · below min

7 days

83.49%±23.81109 openings

30 days

83.91%±19.59161 openings

since tracking started

83.91%±19.59161 openings

39.0%79.0%119.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	40	78.83%±39.3	—	odds
7d	109	83.49%±23.8	−0.2σ	odds
30d	161	83.91%±19.6	−0.3σ	odds
All	161	83.91%±19.6	−0.3σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 161 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 200	$278 437 HUNT_COIN	4.9%	2	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 133	$225 354 HUNT_COIN	6.0%	1	1.2	0.83×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100	$183 289 HUNT_COIN	6.5%	0	1.6	0.00×
AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 80	$123 193 HUNT_COIN	5.4%	0	2.0	0.00×
AWP \| LongDog (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 50	$94.51 149 HUNT_COIN	6.7%	3	3.2	0.93×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 40	$83.82 132 HUNT_COIN	7.4%	2	4.0	0.50×
AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 40	$72.69 114 HUNT_COIN	6.4%	5	4.0	1.24×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 33	$67.92 107 HUNT_COIN	7.2%	9	4.8	1.86×
AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · Legendary	1 in 25	$59.70 94.02 HUNT_COIN	8.4%	3	6.4	0.47×
AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 20	$57.37 90.35 HUNT_COIN	10.1%	9	8.1	1.12×
AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 18	$47.92 75.48 HUNT_COIN	9.3%	9	8.9	1.02×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 17	$42.90 67.57 HUNT_COIN	9.1%	5	9.7	0.52×
AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 17	$33.89 53.38 HUNT_COIN	7.2%	19	9.7	1.97×
SSG 08 \| Mayan Dreams (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade	20.0%	$4.30 6.78 HUNT_COIN	3.0%	26	32.2	0.81×
SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	20.0%	$2.48 3.91 HUNT_COIN	1.8%	37	32.2	1.15×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	20.0%	$1.04 1.64 HUNT_COIN	0.7%	31	32.2	0.96×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$1.041.64 HUNT_COIN0.03x13h

SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$2.483.91 HUNT_COIN0.08x13h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$1.041.64 HUNT_COIN0.03x13h

SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$4.306.78 HUNT_COIN0.13x13h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · RareSparven$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$1.041.64 HUNT_COIN0.03x13h

AWP | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · red$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$57.3790.35 HUNT_COIN1.75x13h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$1.041.64 HUNT_COIN0.03x13h

AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$47.9275.48 HUNT_COIN1.46x13h

AWP | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · red$32.7751.62 HUNT_COIN$57.3790.35 HUNT_COIN1.75x13h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$32.77	86.50%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 9.5%Legendary 4.8%rare 1.3%red 7.0%restricted 5.5%classified 6.0%industrial 6.0%Industrial Grade 20.0%mil spec 20.0%Rare 20.0%best hit —