Global Elite
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.39
2.19 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.13%
EV $1.20 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.04%
934 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 934 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 67 | $12.92 20.35 HUNT_COIN | 16.2% | 13 | 14.0 | 0.93× |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $5.40 8.51 HUNT_COIN | 22.6% | 56 | 46.7 | 1.20× |
| M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $2.39 3.77 HUNT_COIN | 15.0% | 62 | 70.0 | 0.89× |
| AK-47 | Crossfade (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue | 1 in 13 | $1.65 2.6 HUNT_COIN | 11.0% | 56 | 74.7 | 0.75× |
| M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 13.0% | $1.39 2.19 HUNT_COIN | 15.1% | 134 | 121.4 | 1.10× |
| AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $1.30 2.04 HUNT_COIN | 16.2% | 135 | 140.1 | 0.96× |
| AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT_COIN | 2.1% | 142 | 140.1 | 1.01× |
| AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial | 35.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 1.9% | 336 | 326.9 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedVladutBossul$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$5.408.51 HUNT_COIN3.89x
AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrialVladutBossul$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.13%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.39 | 86.13% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 1.5%restricted 27.5%blue 8.0%#8847ff 13.0%industrial 50.0%best hit —