Going Pro
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$65.02
102 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $56.24 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
106.34%
123 openings, odds method
Variance
29.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 123 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 123 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 1 in 200 | $4,861 7,656 HUNT_COIN | 43.2% | 55 | 0.6 | — |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 1 in 67 | $416 656 HUNT_COIN | 11.1% | 63 | 1.8 | 34.15× |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 1 in 33 | $285 448 HUNT_COIN | 15.2% | 55 | 3.7 | 14.91× |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 1 in 20 | $219 345 HUNT_COIN | 19.5% | 55 | 6.2 | 8.94× |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Foil)sticker | 1 in 20 | $123 194 HUNT_COIN | 11.0% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 20.0% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 63 | 24.6 | 2.56× |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 63 | 36.9 | 1.71× |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 35.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 55 | 43.0 | 1.28× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $65.02 | 86.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $4,861 (74.76x)