Hunter
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$150.31
237 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $130.02 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
167.50%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 10.0% | $486 766 HUNT_COIN | 37.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 10.0% | $409 645 HUNT_COIN | 31.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 10.0% | $339 534 HUNT_COIN | 26.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| PP-Bizon | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 12.5% | $20.72 32.64 HUNT_COIN | 2.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Nova | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $15.28 24.06 HUNT_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| P250 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $13.86 21.83 HUNT_COIN | 1.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · blue | 12.5% | $1.51 2.38 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Common | 20.0% | $0.69 1.08 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 10.0%covert 20.0%Mil Spec Grade 12.5%mil spec 25.0%blue 12.5%Common 20.0%best hit —