Jet Set
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.86
4.5 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $2.47 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
124.29%
1,153 openings, odds method
Variance
113.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 1,153 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,168 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 2,000 | $972 1,531 HUNT_COIN | 19.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $472 744 HUNT_COIN | 19.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.71× |
| AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 667 | $236 372 HUNT_COIN | 14.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary | 1 in 333 | $164 258 HUNT_COIN | 19.9% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.71× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 250 | $137 215 HUNT_COIN | 22.1% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.28× |
| AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon | 19.0% | $0.19 0.3 HUNT_COIN | 1.5% | 209 | 221.9 | 0.94× |
| AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9 | 40.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN | 2.4% | 484 | 467.2 | 1.04× |
| AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff | 40.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 1.0% | 459 | 467.2 | 0.98× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classifiedTrevor Lett$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$9721,531 HUNT_COIN340.3x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · LegendaryViral Hopes$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$2.864.5 HUNT_COIN$164258 HUNT_COIN57.36x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.86 | 86.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.1%covert 0.7%Legendary 0.3%Uncommon 19.0%#5e98d9 40.0%#87c7ff 40.0%best hit $972 (340.3x)