KD Farmer

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.97
7.82 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.48%
EV $4.29 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.26%
432 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
36 openings · below min
7 days
82.26%±16.02390 openings
30 days
81.26%±15.22432 openings
since tracking started
81.26%±15.22432 openings
13.5%66.8%120.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3666.83%±52.7—odds
7d39082.26%±16.0−0.5σodds
30d43281.26%±15.2−0.7σodds
All43281.26%±15.2−0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 432 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$155 245 HUNT_COIN1.8%00.2—
MP9 | Stained Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 667$94.44 149 HUNT_COIN3.3%00.6—
MP7 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 500$75.70 119 HUNT_COIN3.5%10.9—
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 333$38.90 61.26 HUNT_COIN2.7%11.30.77×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 125$30.57 48.14 HUNT_COIN5.7%33.50.87×
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 67$20.29 31.95 HUNT_COIN7.1%56.50.77×
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$16.04 25.27 HUNT_COIN7.5%58.60.58×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 40$11.93 18.79 HUNT_COIN6.9%1410.81.30×
G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 20$11.35 17.88 HUNT_COIN13.2%2521.61.16×
Souvenir Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec12.5%$7.90 12.45 HUNT_COIN23.0%5954.01.09×
StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted15.0%$5.42 8.54 HUNT_COIN18.9%6064.80.93×
Sticker | One Shot One Killsticker · High Grade20.0%$0.83 1.31 HUNT_COIN3.9%7886.40.90×
Sticker | Taste Budsticker · #4b69ff20.0%$0.32 0.51 HUNT_COIN1.5%9886.41.13×
Sticker | Luck Skillsticker · 720.0%$0.19 0.3 HUNT_COIN0.9%8386.40.96×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | One Shot One Killsticker · High GradeLEZAS$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.831.31 HUNT_COIN0.17x
Sticker | Luck Skillsticker · 7$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.190.3 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Sticker | Luck Skillsticker · 7$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.190.3 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Souvenir Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$7.9012.45 HUNT_COIN1.59x
Sticker | One Shot One Killsticker · High Grade$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.831.31 HUNT_COIN0.17x
Sticker | One Shot One Killsticker · High Grade$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.831.31 HUNT_COIN0.17x
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$11.9318.79 HUNT_COIN2.40x
Sticker | Taste Budsticker · #4b69ff$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.320.51 HUNT_COIN0.07x
Sticker | Luck Skillsticker · 7$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.190.3 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Sticker | Taste Budsticker · #4b69ff$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$0.320.51 HUNT_COIN0.07x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$4.9786.48%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed7 20.0%covert 1.1%restricted 15.2%mil spec 14.7%Legendary 1.5%Restricted 2.5%classified 5.0%High Grade 20.0%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit —