Price
$4.97
7.82 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.48%
EV $4.29 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.26%
432 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 432 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$7.9012.45 HUNT_COIN1.59x
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$4.977.82 HUNT_COIN$11.9318.79 HUNT_COIN2.40x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.97 | 86.48% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed7 20.0%covert 1.1%restricted 15.2%mil spec 14.7%Legendary 1.5%Restricted 2.5%classified 5.0%High Grade 20.0%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit —