USP Whisperer

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$24.14

38.02 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.50%

EV $20.88 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

104.39%

258 openings, odds method

Variance

2.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 11

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

16 openings · below min

7 days

104.32%±21.29222 openings

30 days

104.39%±19.75258 openings

since tracking started

104.39%±19.75258 openings

-0.5%66.0%132.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	16	52.63%±79.3	—	odds
7d	222	104.32%±21.3	+1.6σ	odds
30d	258	104.39%±19.7	+1.8σ	odds
All	258	104.39%±19.7	+1.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 258 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$180 283 HUNT_COIN	8.6%	4	2.6	1.55×
USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$161 254 HUNT_COIN	7.7%	6	2.6	2.33×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 91	$137 216 HUNT_COIN	7.2%	2	2.8	0.70×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 87	$137 216 HUNT_COIN	7.6%	2	3.0	0.67×
USP-S \| Business Class (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 67	$125 197 HUNT_COIN	9.0%	6	3.9	1.55×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 57	$106 167 HUNT_COIN	8.9%	6	4.5	1.33×
USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 50	$90.29 142 HUNT_COIN	8.6%	5	5.2	0.97×
USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 44	$70.83 112 HUNT_COIN	7.6%	7	5.8	1.21×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 40	$62.27 98.08 HUNT_COIN	7.5%	6	6.5	0.93×
USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 36	$49.03 77.23 HUNT_COIN	6.5%	13	7.1	1.83×
USP-S \| Road Rash (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 29	$35.63 56.11 HUNT_COIN	6.0%	6	9.0	0.66×
USP-S \| Para Green (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 22	$27.71 43.65 HUNT_COIN	6.0%	9	11.6	0.78×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	15.0%	$3.75 5.91 HUNT_COIN	2.7%	38	38.7	0.98×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	20.0%	$2.50 3.94 HUNT_COIN	2.4%	46	51.6	0.89×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	20.0%	$2.48 3.9 HUNT_COIN	2.4%	50	51.6	0.97×
USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted	20.0%	$1.45 2.29 HUNT_COIN	1.4%	52	51.6	1.01×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$2.503.94 HUNT_COIN0.10x35m

USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$1.452.29 HUNT_COIN0.06x35m

USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$49.0377.23 HUNT_COIN2.03x35m

StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$2.503.94 HUNT_COIN0.10x35m

StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.16x35m

StatTrak™ USP-S | Lead Conduit (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecHulk$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$2.483.9 HUNT_COIN0.10x35m

USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$1.452.29 HUNT_COIN0.06x13h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$2.503.94 HUNT_COIN0.10x13h

USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$70.83112 HUNT_COIN2.93x13h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$24.1438.02 HUNT_COIN$3.755.91 HUNT_COIN0.16x13h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$24.14	86.50%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 2.1%classified 5.5%#d32ee6 1.1%mil spec 1.5%restricted 25.5%industrial 6.8%Restricted 2.5%milspec 55.0%best hit —