Ladies Man

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.84

1.33 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.34%

EV $0.73 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

88.13%

2,261 openings, odds method

Variance

4.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 14

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

80.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

67 openings · below min

7 days

88.29%±9.501,896 openings

30 days

88.13%±8.702,261 openings

since tracking started

88.13%±8.702,261 openings

63.0%114.3%165.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	67	114.34%±50.6	—	odds
7d	1,896	88.29%±9.50	+0.4σ	odds
30d	2,261	88.13%±8.70	+0.4σ	odds
All	2,261	88.13%±8.70	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,261 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 10,000	$44.44 70 HUNT_COIN	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,333	$33.06 52.07 HUNT_COIN	1.4%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,667	$25.84 40.7 HUNT_COIN	2.1%	3	1.4	2.21×
Souvenir AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,000	$13.06 20.57 HUNT_COIN	1.8%	3	2.3	1.33×
Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 400	$8.71 13.72 HUNT_COIN	3.0%	5	5.7	0.88×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 182	$8.33 13.12 HUNT_COIN	6.3%	10	12.4	0.80×
AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 100	$7.23 11.38 HUNT_COIN	9.9%	25	22.6	1.11×
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 50	$4.79 7.55 HUNT_COIN	13.1%	54	45.2	1.19×
AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 33	$3.56 5.61 HUNT_COIN	14.7%	68	67.8	1.00×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| 27 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 33	$2.85 4.49 HUNT_COIN	11.7%	68	67.8	1.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 20	$2.18 3.44 HUNT_COIN	15.0%	105	113.1	0.93×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF	1 in 20	$1.96 3.08 HUNT_COIN	13.4%	94	113.1	0.83×
Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	15.0%	$0.15 0.24 HUNT_COIN	3.1%	366	339.1	1.08×
P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested)weapon · 1	15.0%	$0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN	3.0%	323	339.1	0.95×
Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon	25.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	0.4%	577	565.3	1.02×
Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon	25.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	0.4%	559	565.3	0.99×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$4.797.55 HUNT_COIN5.68x1h

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1h

StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$2.854.49 HUNT_COIN3.38x1h

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1h

P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)weapon · 1$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.17x1h

AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetLEZAS$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$3.565.61 HUNT_COIN4.22x1h

P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)weapon · 1$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.17x1h

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$4.797.55 HUNT_COIN5.68x1h

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1h

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$0.841.33 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.34%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.84	86.34%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 15.0%restricted 0.3%mil spec 15.6%Mil Spec Grade 5.1%industrial 1.0%red 2.0%violet 3.0%milspec 3.0%#4B69FF 5.0%other 50.0%best hit —