Snakebit
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.57
15.08 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.46%
EV $8.28 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.88%
263 openings, odds method
Variance
14.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 263 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn)weapon · covertSr.Calavera$9.5715.08 HUNT_COIN$41.6665.62 HUNT_COIN4.35x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$9.5715.08 HUNT_COIN$35.7756.33 HUNT_COIN3.74x
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$9.5715.08 HUNT_COIN$0.971.52 HUNT_COIN0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.57 | 86.46% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.1%extraordinary 1.1%classified 0.2%mil spec 15.6%restricted 2.5%Legendary 3.5%#5E98D9 5.0%red 7.5%exotic 7.5%Industrial Grade 10.0%#8847ff 30.0%Rare 15.0%best hit —