Time To Tilt

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.22

0.35 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

84.82%

EV $0.19 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

81.23%

5,614 openings, odds method

Variance

2.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

13.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

80.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

75.21%±22.68177 openings

7 days

80.34%±4.424,660 openings

30 days

81.23%±4.035,614 openings

since tracking started

81.23%±4.035,614 openings

52.0%75.3%98.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	177	75.21%±22.7	−0.8σ	odds
7d	4,660	80.34%±4.42	−2.0σ	odds
30d	5,614	81.23%±4.03	−1.7σ	odds
All	5,614	81.23%±4.03	−1.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,614 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Factory New)weapon · blueLight	1 in 100	$1.61 2.54 HUNT_COIN	8.6%	48	56.1	0.86×
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 80	$1.33 2.1 HUNT_COIN	8.8%	50	70.2	0.71×
Souvenir SCAR-20 \| Storm (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9	1 in 67	$1.04 1.64 HUNT_COIN	8.3%	72	84.2	0.86×
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 57	$1.03 1.63 HUNT_COIN	9.6%	115	98.2	1.17×
Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 40	$0.85 1.34 HUNT_COIN	11.3%	134	140.3	0.95×
Sticker \| Knife Clubsticker · High Grade	1 in 20	$0.81 1.28 HUNT_COIN	21.6%	286	280.7	1.02×
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 14	$0.50 0.78 HUNT_COIN	18.4%	377	393.0	0.96×
Sticker \| Monstersticker · High Grade	10.0%	$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN	3.4%	549	561.4	0.98×
Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Common	15.0%	$0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN	4.0%	822	842.1	0.98×
Souvenir P90 \| Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade	15.0%	$0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN	2.0%	877	842.1	1.04×
G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	20.0%	$0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN	2.7%	1,125	1122.8	1.00×
Sticker \| Retro Zeussticker · Rare	20.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	1.3%	1,159	1122.8	1.03×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.11x1h

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.11x1h

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.11x1h

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial GradeMaltael$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.11x1h

Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN0.23x1h

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$1.031.63 HUNT_COIN4.66x1h

Sticker | Retro Zeussticker · Rare$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.06x1h

Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · CommonMaltael$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN0.23x1h

Sticker | Retro Zeussticker · Rare$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.06x1h

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.220.35 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.11x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 84.82%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.22	84.82%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedblueLight 1.0%#8847ff 3.0%#B0C3D9 1.5%industrial 2.5%High Grade 15.0%violet 7.0%Common 15.0%Industrial Grade 15.0%consumer 20.0%Rare 20.0%best hit —