Tide Turner
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$632.46
996 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $547.07 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
37.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $1,219 1,921 HUNT_COIN | 27.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)knife · gold | 12.5% | $961 1,514 HUNT_COIN | 22.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B | 12.5% | $926 1,458 HUNT_COIN | 21.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 12.5% | $665 1,048 HUNT_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert | 12.5% | $326 514 HUNT_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $150 236 HUNT_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 12.5% | $76.11 120 HUNT_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 12.5% | $52.78 83.13 HUNT_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $632 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 25.0%gold 12.5%#EB4B4B 12.5%covert 37.5%restricted 12.5%