Scout Dreams
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.58
0.92 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
85.61%
EV $0.50 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.09%
4,579 openings, odds method
Variance
11.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,579 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 500 | $21.68 34.14 HUNT_COIN | 8.7% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 1 in 333 | $18.06 28.45 HUNT_COIN | 10.8% | 8 | 13.7 | 0.58× |
| SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $10.43 16.42 HUNT_COIN | 20.8% | 43 | 45.8 | 0.94× |
| SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 67 | $6.85 10.79 HUNT_COIN | 20.6% | 78 | 68.7 | 1.14× |
| StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff | 1 in 50 | $5.25 8.27 HUNT_COIN | 21.0% | 75 | 91.6 | 0.82× |
| Sticker | Fly Highsticker · #4b69ff | 95.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT_COIN | 18.1% | 4,368 | 4350.1 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$6.8510.79 HUNT_COIN11.73x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.61%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.58 | 85.61% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.2%consumer 0.3%restricted 1.5%#8847ff 2.0%#4b69ff 95.0%best hit —