T Side Terror

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$4.23

6.67 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.47%

EV $3.66 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d

97.90%

1,134 openings, odds method

Variance

25.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 56

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

60 openings · below min

7 days

92.99%±33.99844 openings

30 days

97.90%±29.321,134 openings

since tracking started

97.90%±29.321,134 openings

5.0%133.3%261.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	60	133.29%±127.5	—	odds
7d	844	92.99%±34.0	+0.4σ	odds
30d	1,134	97.90%±29.3	+0.8σ	odds
All	1,134	97.90%±29.3	+0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,134 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$770 1,213 HUNT_COIN	2.1%	0	0.1	—
Souvenir AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles	1 in 5,000	$597 941 HUNT_COIN	3.3%	1	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$351 553 HUNT_COIN	4.8%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,111	$231 364 HUNT_COIN	5.7%	2	1.0	1.96×
MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,000	$152 239 HUNT_COIN	4.1%	0	1.1	0.00×
Souvenir Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted	1 in 400	$123 194 HUNT_COIN	8.4%	3	2.8	1.06×
MAC-10 \| Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 200	$97.09 153 HUNT_COIN	13.3%	8	5.7	1.41×
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)weapon · red	1 in 133	$79.78 126 HUNT_COIN	16.3%	8	8.5	0.94×
Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 111	$60.34 95.04 HUNT_COIN	14.8%	8	10.2	0.78×
Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 95	$46.95 73.94 HUNT_COIN	13.5%	16	11.9	1.34×
MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 78	$35.70 56.22 HUNT_COIN	12.5%	16	14.5	1.10×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Morris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	40.0%	$0.10 0.15 HUNT_COIN	1.0%	467	453.6	1.03×
Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common	55.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	0.2%	605	623.7	0.97×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$597941 HUNT_COIN141.0x1d

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$231364 HUNT_COIN54.64x3d

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$231364 HUNT_COIN54.64x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x39m

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.100.15 HUNT_COIN0.02x39m

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x39m

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.100.15 HUNT_COIN0.02x39m

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · CommonPOSK$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x39m

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.100.15 HUNT_COIN0.02x39m

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x39m

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.100.15 HUNT_COIN0.02x39m

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common$4.236.67 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x39m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.47%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$4.23	86.47%	13

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.1%Rifles 0.0%classified 0.1%Mil Spec Grade 0.6%restricted 1.3%red 0.8%rare 0.9%#d32ee6 1.3%milspec 40.0%Common 55.0%best hit $597 (141.0x)