1 Tap
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$150.65
237 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $130.31 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
160.04%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 67 | $1,312 2,067 HUNT_COIN | 15.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 29 | $693 1,091 HUNT_COIN | 18.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $416 656 HUNT_COIN | 16.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $234 369 HUNT_COIN | 13.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted | 1 in 12 | $214 337 HUNT_COIN | 14.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 12.5% | $160 252 HUNT_COIN | 15.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.00× |
| AK-47 | Predator (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 17.5% | $23.71 37.35 HUNT_COIN | 3.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 44.0% | $12.92 20.35 HUNT_COIN | 4.4% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$151237 HUNT_COIN$160252 HUNT_COIN1.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertfine shi$151237 HUNT_COIN$234369 HUNT_COIN1.56x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $151 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 14.0%rare 3.5%covert 12.5%Restricted 8.5%industrial 17.5%blue 44.0%best hit $1,312 (8.71x)