1% Brokie
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.96
1.51 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.33%
EV $0.83 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.97%
1,005 openings, odds method
Variance
59.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 167
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,005 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Classified | 1 in 2,000 | $109 172 HUNT_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal | 1 in 1,000 | $89.58 141 HUNT_COIN | 10.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 667 | $82.36 130 HUNT_COIN | 14.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| ★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 667 | $77.78 123 HUNT_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× |
| AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 667 | $72.92 115 HUNT_COIN | 13.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 500 | $61.77 97.29 HUNT_COIN | 14.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 500 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT_COIN | 13.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× |
| P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff | 99.0% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT_COIN | 12.2% | 995 | 995.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$89.58141 HUNT_COIN93.44x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$82.36130 HUNT_COIN85.90x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$61.7797.29 HUNT_COIN64.43x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$61.7797.29 HUNT_COIN64.43x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertKlinklicious$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$54.9186.49 HUNT_COIN57.28x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$54.9186.49 HUNT_COIN57.28x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.961.51 HUNT_COIN$54.9186.49 HUNT_COIN57.28x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.96 | 86.33% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 0.1%Immortal 0.1%covert knife 0.4%covert 0.5%#4b69ff 99.0%best hit $89.58 (93.44x)