13 0 Dream
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$359.19
566 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $310.70 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
353.81%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$359566 HUNT_COIN$2,3613,719 HUNT_COIN6.57x
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$359566 HUNT_COIN$2,3613,719 HUNT_COIN6.57x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $359 | 86.50% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 5.5%classified 5.3%legendary 2.3%Exotic 27.0%pink 60.0%best hit $2,660 (7.41x)