Cheater Starter Pack

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.50
0.79 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.30%
EV $0.43 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.20%
4,536 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
71.22%±21.82162 openings
7 days
85.56%±6.281,958 openings
30 days
88.20%±4.124,536 openings
since tracking started
88.20%±4.124,536 openings
48.5%71.0%93.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16271.22%±21.8−1.4σodds
7d1,95885.56%±6.28−0.2σodds
30d4,53688.20%±4.12+0.9σodds
All4,53688.20%±4.12+0.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,536 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 20$1.91 3.01 HUNT_COIN22.1%238226.81.05×
Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 20$1.80 2.84 HUNT_COIN20.8%246226.81.08×
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon1 in 13$1.77 2.78 HUNT_COIN30.6%327340.20.96×
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 13$1.23 1.93 HUNT_COIN21.2%350340.21.03×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade15.0%$0.08 0.13 HUNT_COIN2.9%669680.40.98×
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 115.0%$0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN1.1%666680.40.98×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade20.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.6%883907.20.97×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade25.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN0.7%1,1571134.01.02×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.06x
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$1.772.78 HUNT_COIN3.52x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.30%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$0.5086.30%8
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 15.0%restricted 5.0%#8847ff 5.0%Uncommon 7.5%uncommon 7.5%Industrial Grade 15.0%Consumer Grade 45.0%best hit —