Price
$0.50
0.79 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.30%
EV $0.43 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.20%
4,536 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,536 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $1.91 3.01 HUNT_COIN | 22.1% | 238 | 226.8 | 1.05× |
| Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff | 1 in 20 | $1.80 2.84 HUNT_COIN | 20.8% | 246 | 226.8 | 1.08× |
| Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon | 1 in 13 | $1.77 2.78 HUNT_COIN | 30.6% | 327 | 340.2 | 0.96× |
| Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon | 1 in 13 | $1.23 1.93 HUNT_COIN | 21.2% | 350 | 340.2 | 1.03× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT_COIN | 2.9% | 669 | 680.4 | 0.98× |
| SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1 | 15.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN | 1.1% | 666 | 680.4 | 0.98× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.6% | 883 | 907.2 | 0.97× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.7% | 1,157 | 1134.0 | 1.02× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.080.13 HUNT_COIN0.16x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeRicardo Milos$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.080.13 HUNT_COIN0.16x
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$1.772.78 HUNT_COIN3.52x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeRicardo Milos$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.500.79 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.30%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.50 | 86.30% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 15.0%restricted 5.0%#8847ff 5.0%Uncommon 7.5%uncommon 7.5%Industrial Grade 15.0%Consumer Grade 45.0%best hit —