Knife Flip
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$126.81
200 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $109.68 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.60%
19 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 19 openings and 4.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knifefine shi$127200 HUNT_COIN$178280 HUNT_COIN1.40x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$127200 HUNT_COIN$229361 HUNT_COIN1.81x
★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covertfine shi$127200 HUNT_COIN$161254 HUNT_COIN1.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $127 | 86.50% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 23.1%covert 19.4%Covert 3.5%#ffd700 4.0%High Grade 50.0%best hit —