Last Second Savior
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$25.93
40.84 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.48%
EV $22.42 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.36%
156 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $85.97 135 HUNT_COIN | 19.2% | 12 | 7.8 | 1.54× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $70.55 111 HUNT_COIN | 15.7% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $68.05 107 HUNT_COIN | 15.2% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $60.34 95.04 HUNT_COIN | 13.5% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× |
| M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT_COIN | 12.2% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $47.71 75.15 HUNT_COIN | 10.6% | 11 | 7.8 | 1.41× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink | 10.0% | $30.15 47.48 HUNT_COIN | 13.4% | 14 | 15.6 | 0.90× |
| M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade | 60.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 0.2% | 94 | 93.6 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$60.3495.04 HUNT_COIN2.33x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$30.1547.48 HUNT_COIN1.16x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial GradeHulk$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$25.9340.84 HUNT_COIN$85.97135 HUNT_COIN3.32x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.93 | 86.48% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 10.0%covert 20.0%pink 10.0%Industrial Grade 60.0%best hit —