No Crosshair
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.80
15.44 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.45%
EV $8.47 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.77%
280 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 280 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 67 | $94.17 148 HUNT_COIN | 16.7% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $38.33 60.37 HUNT_COIN | 22.6% | 16 | 14.0 | 1.14× |
| AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)weapon · red | 1 in 13 | $17.92 28.23 HUNT_COIN | 15.9% | 22 | 21.0 | 1.05× |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $11.78 18.56 HUNT_COIN | 11.1% | 16 | 22.4 | 0.71× |
| AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 13.0% | $9.31 14.67 HUNT_COIN | 14.3% | 33 | 36.4 | 0.91× |
| AWP | POP AWP (Factory New)weapon · Restricted | 15.0% | $8.46 13.33 HUNT_COIN | 15.0% | 37 | 42.0 | 0.88× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $0.92 1.45 HUNT_COIN | 1.6% | 55 | 42.0 | 1.31× |
| StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 35.0% | $0.69 1.08 HUNT_COIN | 2.8% | 98 | 98.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$0.921.45 HUNT_COIN0.09x
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$9.3114.67 HUNT_COIN0.95x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$0.691.08 HUNT_COIN0.07x
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$9.3114.67 HUNT_COIN0.95x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeDiabloPhD$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$0.921.45 HUNT_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeSr.Calavera$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$0.691.08 HUNT_COIN0.07x
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$9.3114.67 HUNT_COIN0.95x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$0.921.45 HUNT_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeVladutBossul$9.8015.44 HUNT_COIN$0.691.08 HUNT_COIN0.07x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.45%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.80 | 86.45% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.5%restricted 13.0%red 7.5%covert 13.0%Restricted 15.0%Consumer Grade 15.0%Mil Spec Grade 35.0%best hit —