No Kit No Problem
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$30.58
48.17 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $26.45 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.38%
130 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 130 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USP-S | Orion (Factory New)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $60.29 94.95 HUNT_COIN | 28.5% | 14 | 16.3 | 0.86× |
| USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $49.03 77.23 HUNT_COIN | 23.2% | 20 | 16.3 | 1.23× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient | 12.5% | $41.61 65.53 HUNT_COIN | 19.7% | 19 | 16.3 | 1.17× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $33.06 52.07 HUNT_COIN | 15.6% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 12.5% | $11.04 17.39 HUNT_COIN | 5.2% | 18 | 16.3 | 1.11× |
| USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 12.5% | $7.75 12.21 HUNT_COIN | 3.7% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 12.5% | $5.77 9.09 HUNT_COIN | 2.7% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $3.09 4.86 HUNT_COIN | 1.5% | 11 | 16.3 | 0.68× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$30.5848.17 HUNT_COIN$33.0652.07 HUNT_COIN1.08x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedPeitschenMeister$30.5848.17 HUNT_COIN$11.0417.39 HUNT_COIN0.36x
USP-S | Orion (Factory New)weapon · classifiedPeitschenMeister$30.5848.17 HUNT_COIN$60.2994.95 HUNT_COIN1.97x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$30.5848.17 HUNT_COIN$33.0652.07 HUNT_COIN1.08x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$30.5848.17 HUNT_COIN$11.0417.39 HUNT_COIN0.36x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.58 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 37.5%Ancient 12.5%mil spec 25.0%#4b69ff 12.5%Rare 12.5%best hit —