Oasis
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$76.51
121 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $66.18 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
71.45%
52 openings, odds method
Variance
3.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 52 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 52 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b | 1 in 25 | $526 829 HUNT_COIN | 31.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| Souvenir Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified | 1 in 25 | $424 667 HUNT_COIN | 25.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare | 1 in 14 | $339 534 HUNT_COIN | 35.8% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.27× |
| M4A4 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $21.46 33.8 HUNT_COIN | 4.9% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× |
| AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red | 15.0% | $4.79 7.55 HUNT_COIN | 1.1% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× |
| PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $3.33 5.25 HUNT_COIN | 0.8% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× |
| USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight | 15.0% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× |
| G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 21 | 13.0 | 1.62× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$3.335.25 HUNT_COIN0.04x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer GradeRicki$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.100.16 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.100.16 HUNT_COIN0.00x
USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.100.16 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covertKarl Ess$76.51121 HUNT_COIN$3.335.25 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $76.51 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#eb4b4b 4.0%classified 4.0%rare 7.0%industrial 15.0%red 15.0%covert 15.0%blueLight 15.0%Consumer Grade 25.0%best hit $526 (6.88x)