Pixel Peek
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.18
5.01 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.37%
EV $2.75 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.08%
517 openings, odds method
Variance
5.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 517 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · RestrictedHobbi3ten$3.185.01 HUNT_COIN$8.0612.7 HUNT_COIN2.53x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.18 | 86.37% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.8%Covert 0.3%classified 0.8%Mythical 2.2%industrial 2.5%Restricted 2.8%restricted 3.0%other 7.3%Rare 41.0%high 37.5%best hit —