Rampage

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$50.18

79.03 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.49%

EV $43.40 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

62.01%

150 openings, odds method

Variance

2.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

13.5%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

72.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

12 openings · below min

7 days

62.85%±28.72128 openings

30 days

62.01%±26.53150 openings

since tracking started

62.01%±26.53150 openings

-0.5%73.8%148.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	12	53.69%±93.8	—	odds
7d	128	62.85%±28.7	−1.6σ	odds
30d	150	62.01%±26.5	−1.8σ	odds
All	150	62.01%±26.5	−1.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 150 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$1,625 2,559 HUNT_COIN	1.9%	0	0.1	—
★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 667	$957 1,507 HUNT_COIN	3.3%	0	0.2	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 500	$649 1,021 HUNT_COIN	3.0%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 333	$408 643 HUNT_COIN	2.8%	0	0.5	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 125	$370 583 HUNT_COIN	6.8%	0	1.2	0.00×
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 100	$260 410 HUNT_COIN	6.0%	1	1.5	0.67×
Sticker \| iBUYPOWERsticker	1 in 67	$208 328 HUNT_COIN	7.2%	0	2.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 50	$167 262 HUNT_COIN	7.7%	3	3.0	1.00×
Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec	1 in 40	$133 210 HUNT_COIN	7.7%	2	3.8	0.53×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 20	$81.25 128 HUNT_COIN	9.4%	8	7.5	1.07×
AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 15	$70.97 112 HUNT_COIN	10.6%	10	9.8	1.03×
Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo)sticker	1 in 13	$69.44 109 HUNT_COIN	12.0%	5	11.3	0.44×
AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	12.5%	$49.93 78.64 HUNT_COIN	14.4%	29	18.8	1.55×
Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo)sticker · Mythical	20.0%	$7.49 11.79 HUNT_COIN	3.4%	30	30.0	1.00×
Sticker \| Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic	20.0%	$4.86 7.66 HUNT_COIN	2.2%	34	30.0	1.13×
Sticker \| Battle Scarredsticker · violet	20.0%	$3.44 5.42 HUNT_COIN	1.6%	28	30.0	0.93×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Battle Scarredsticker · violet$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$3.445.42 HUNT_COIN0.07x22h

Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$4.867.66 HUNT_COIN0.10x22h

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$81.25128 HUNT_COIN1.62x22h

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedPeitschenMeister$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$81.25128 HUNT_COIN1.62x22h

Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil)sticker · exotic$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$4.867.66 HUNT_COIN0.10x22h

AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$70.97112 HUNT_COIN1.41x22h

Sticker | Battle Scarredsticker · violetPeitschenMeister$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$3.445.42 HUNT_COIN0.07x22h

Sticker | Battle Scarred (Holo)sticker · Mythical$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$7.4911.79 HUNT_COIN0.15x22h

AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$50.1879.03 HUNT_COIN$49.9378.64 HUNT_COIN1.00x22h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$50.18	86.49%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 15.0%extraordinary 0.2%restricted 5.8%covert knife 1.0%other 9.0%mil spec 2.5%classified 6.5%Mythical 20.0%exotic 20.0%violet 20.0%best hit —