Save King
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$45.51
71.68 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $39.36 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
100.15%
317 openings, odds method
Variance
17.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 317 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 500 | $2,201 3,467 HUNT_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 333 | $1,543 2,430 HUNT_COIN | 11.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $1,007 1,586 HUNT_COIN | 25.6% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.89× |
| Sticker | ScreaM (Gold)sticker | 1 in 67 | $694 1,094 HUNT_COIN | 26.5% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× |
| Sticker | Zeus (Gold)sticker | 1 in 50 | $401 631 HUNT_COIN | 20.4% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.10× |
| Sticker | Natus Vinceresticker | 30.0% | $2.77 4.37 HUNT_COIN | 2.1% | 207 | 95.1 | 2.18× |
| Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil)sticker | 30.0% | $1.72 2.71 HUNT_COIN | 1.3% | 91 | 95.1 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | Natus Vinceresticker | 35.0% | $1.37 2.16 HUNT_COIN | 1.2% | 207 | 111.0 | 1.87× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,5432,430 HUNT_COIN33.90x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertdwiauhdas$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN22.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN22.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN22.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN22.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN22.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$45.5171.68 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN22.13x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $45.51 | 86.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.5%other 98.5%best hit $1,543 (33.90x)