Say My Name
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$41.01
64.59 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $35.47 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
105.47%
209 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 86.49% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (86.66% – 124.27%, 209 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 209 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 67 | $368 580 HUNT_COIN | 15.6% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.59× |
| AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $171 269 HUNT_COIN | 24.1% | 17 | 10.5 | 1.63× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $71.94 113 HUNT_COIN | 15.2% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red | 1 in 13 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT_COIN | 12.3% | 12 | 16.7 | 0.72× |
| Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 13.0% | $41.39 65.19 HUNT_COIN | 15.2% | 27 | 27.2 | 0.99× |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 15.0% | $31.61 49.78 HUNT_COIN | 13.4% | 39 | 31.3 | 1.24× |
| P250 | Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 15.0% | $3.98 6.27 HUNT_COIN | 1.7% | 24 | 31.3 | 0.77× |
| P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade | 35.0% | $2.64 4.16 HUNT_COIN | 2.6% | 71 | 73.1 | 0.97× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN0.06x
P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN0.06x
P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$31.6149.78 HUNT_COIN0.77x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · AncientSparven$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$31.6149.78 HUNT_COIN0.77x
P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN0.06x
P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN0.06x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$41.0164.59 HUNT_COIN$31.6149.78 HUNT_COIN0.77x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $41.01 | 86.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 14.0%red 8.0%rare 13.0%Ancient 15.0%consumer 15.0%Industrial Grade 35.0%best hit —