VuIcan
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.53
3.98 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.49%
EV $2.19 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.02%
1,244 openings, odds method
Variance
107.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 1,244 openings and 3.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,259 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $811 1,277 HUNT_COIN | 18.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 1,000 | $401 632 HUNT_COIN | 18.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 667 | $234 369 HUNT_COIN | 16.1% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.12× |
| AK-47 | B the Monster (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 333 | $144 228 HUNT_COIN | 19.8% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 250 | $116 183 HUNT_COIN | 21.3% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.19× |
| AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec | 19.0% | $0.30 0.48 HUNT_COIN | 2.6% | 227 | 239.2 | 0.95× |
| AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight | 40.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT_COIN | 2.1% | 524 | 503.6 | 1.04× |
| AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff | 40.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 1.2% | 495 | 503.6 | 0.98× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified$2.533.98 HUNT_COIN$401632 HUNT_COIN158.7x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2.533.98 HUNT_COIN$234369 HUNT_COIN92.78x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2.533.98 HUNT_COIN$234369 HUNT_COIN92.78x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2.533.98 HUNT_COIN$234369 HUNT_COIN92.78x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$2.533.98 HUNT_COIN$234369 HUNT_COIN92.78x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.53 | 86.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.9%classified 0.1%mil spec 19.0%blueLight 40.0%#87c7ff 40.0%best hit $401 (158.7x)