Vortex
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$92.36
145 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $79.89 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.19%
101 openings, odds method
Variance
16.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 101 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 101 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 500 | $4,444 7,000 HUNT_COIN | 11.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 1 in 333 | $3,172 4,996 HUNT_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife | 1 in 100 | $1,715 2,702 HUNT_COIN | 21.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 67 | $1,389 2,187 HUNT_COIN | 26.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $913 1,438 HUNT_COIN | 22.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $8.19 12.9 HUNT_COIN | 3.1% | 36 | 30.3 | 1.19× |
| MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 30.0% | $7.63 12.02 HUNT_COIN | 2.9% | 30 | 30.3 | 0.99× |
| Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec | 35.0% | $1.40 2.21 HUNT_COIN | 0.6% | 31 | 35.4 | 0.88× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryHulk$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$4,4447,000 HUNT_COIN48.12x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$1,3892,187 HUNT_COIN15.04x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinarySh*t its Pan$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$9131,438 HUNT_COIN9.89x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$1.402.21 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$8.1912.9 HUNT_COIN0.09x
Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil specRicki$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$1.402.21 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$8.1912.9 HUNT_COIN0.09x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$1,3892,187 HUNT_COIN15.04x
Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil specHobbi3ten$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$8.1912.9 HUNT_COIN0.09x
Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$8.1912.9 HUNT_COIN0.09x
Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$92.36145 HUNT_COIN$1.402.21 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $92.36 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 2.2%Covert 0.3%covert knife 2.5%mil spec 65.0%covert 30.0%best hit $4,444 (48.12x)