Silver Elite

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$26.13

41.16 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.50%

EV $22.60 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

72.84%

164 openings, odds method

Variance

2.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 11

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

12 openings · below min

7 days

84 openings · below min

30 days

72.84%±24.50164 openings

since tracking started

72.84%±24.50164 openings

-0.5%58.0%116.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	12	25.05%±90.6	—	odds
7d	84	61.35%±34.2	—	odds
30d	164	72.84%±24.5	−1.1σ	odds
All	164	72.84%±24.5	−1.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 164 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 100	$193 304 HUNT_COIN	8.5%	3	1.6	1.83×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 100	$179 282 HUNT_COIN	7.9%	1	1.6	0.61×
SCAR-20 \| Brass (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 91	$163 256 HUNT_COIN	7.9%	0	1.8	0.00×
G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 87	$143 225 HUNT_COIN	7.3%	0	1.9	0.00×
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 67	$135 212 HUNT_COIN	8.9%	3	2.5	1.22×
Souvenir XM1014 \| CaliCamo (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · industrial	1 in 57	$111 175 HUNT_COIN	8.6%	4	2.9	1.39×
Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Brass (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 50	$90.29 142 HUNT_COIN	8.0%	2	3.3	0.61×
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 44	$77.50 122 HUNT_COIN	7.7%	1	3.7	0.27×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 40	$64.65 102 HUNT_COIN	7.2%	6	4.1	1.46×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 36	$45.14 71.1 HUNT_COIN	5.5%	5	4.5	1.11×
P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 29	$38.15 60.09 HUNT_COIN	5.9%	2	5.7	0.35×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 22	$27.37 43.1 HUNT_COIN	5.4%	4	7.4	0.54×
MP5-SD \| Bamboo Garden (Battle-Scarred)weapon	15.0%	$5.70 8.97 HUNT_COIN	3.8%	33	24.6	1.34×
MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	20.0%	$3.56 5.61 HUNT_COIN	3.2%	29	32.8	0.88×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	20.0%	$2.85 4.49 HUNT_COIN	2.5%	34	32.8	1.04×
MP5-SD \| Acid Wash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	20.0%	$1.87 2.95 HUNT_COIN	1.7%	37	32.8	1.13×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$2.854.49 HUNT_COIN0.11x43m

MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden (Battle-Scarred)weapon$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$5.708.97 HUNT_COIN0.22x43m

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$45.1471.1 HUNT_COIN1.73x43m

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$2.854.49 HUNT_COIN0.11x43m

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · MythicalHulk$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$2.854.49 HUNT_COIN0.11x43m

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$3.565.61 HUNT_COIN0.14x46m

MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$1.872.95 HUNT_COIN0.07x46m

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$3.565.61 HUNT_COIN0.14x46m

MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$26.1341.16 HUNT_COIN$1.872.95 HUNT_COIN0.07x46m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$26.13	86.50%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 21.0%#eb4b4b 3.8%Mil Spec Grade 3.1%industrial 2.9%classified 10.8%covert 3.5%other 15.0%Legendary 20.0%Mythical 20.0%best hit —