50 50 Plugs
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$12.53
19.74 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.47%
EV $10.84 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.90%
257 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
37.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 257 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 12.5% | $23.61 37.19 HUNT_COIN | 27.2% | 48 | 32.1 | 1.49× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 12.5% | $19.61 30.88 HUNT_COIN | 22.6% | 23 | 32.1 | 0.72× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 12.5% | $16.51 26.01 HUNT_COIN | 19.0% | 27 | 32.1 | 0.84× |
| SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $13.18 20.76 HUNT_COIN | 15.2% | 30 | 32.1 | 0.93× |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 12.5% | $6.01 9.47 HUNT_COIN | 6.9% | 37 | 32.1 | 1.15× |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 12.5% | $4.43 6.98 HUNT_COIN | 5.1% | 36 | 32.1 | 1.12× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec | 12.5% | $2.22 3.49 HUNT_COIN | 2.6% | 23 | 32.1 | 0.72× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 12.5% | $1.12 1.77 HUNT_COIN | 1.3% | 33 | 32.1 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$12.5319.74 HUNT_COIN$1.121.77 HUNT_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$12.5319.74 HUNT_COIN$6.019.47 HUNT_COIN0.48x
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restrictedDiabloPhD$12.5319.74 HUNT_COIN$23.6137.19 HUNT_COIN1.88x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeSr.Calavera$12.5319.74 HUNT_COIN$19.6130.88 HUNT_COIN1.56x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$12.5319.74 HUNT_COIN$1.121.77 HUNT_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedHobbi3ten$12.5319.74 HUNT_COIN$6.019.47 HUNT_COIN0.48x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.47%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.53 | 86.47% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 37.5%Mil Spec Grade 12.5%classified 37.5%milspec 12.5%best hit —