Gamma
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2,060.01
3,245 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $1,781.90 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
124.31%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700 | 12.5% | $4,507 7,098 HUNT_COIN | 31.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold | 12.5% | $4,394 6,921 HUNT_COIN | 30.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700 | 12.5% | $2,747 4,327 HUNT_COIN | 19.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold | 12.5% | $1,097 1,728 HUNT_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700 | 12.5% | $776 1,223 HUNT_COIN | 5.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny | 12.5% | $472 743 HUNT_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert | 12.5% | $193 304 HUNT_COIN | 1.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 12.5% | $69.30 109 HUNT_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700Gremlin$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$4,5077,098 HUNT_COIN2.19x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$4,3946,921 HUNT_COIN2.13x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$2,7474,327 HUNT_COIN1.33x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$2,7474,327 HUNT_COIN1.33x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$7761,223 HUNT_COIN0.38x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$193304 HUNT_COIN0.09x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$2,7474,327 HUNT_COIN1.33x
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$2,7474,327 HUNT_COIN1.33x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$7761,223 HUNT_COIN0.38x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$4,3946,921 HUNT_COIN2.13x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700Gremlin$2,0603,245 HUNT_COIN$4,5077,098 HUNT_COIN2.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,060 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 37.5%gold 25.0%sunny 12.5%Covert 12.5%covert 12.5%best hit $4,507 (2.19x)